Forecasting in K-12 Education
Arfstrom Consulting works with corporate clients to provide forecasting assessments, including scanning, and strategic planning. Forecasting is NOT predicting the future or guessing, but using a research-based methodology to review past data to anticipate what will likely happen in the future. There is no crystal ball involved, but a rigorous assessment of current data and trends that predicate future actions and decisions.
The initial steps involve scanning, which is a deliberate review of print and online publications (both main stream and professional literature), attending briefings, conferences and other events, talking with experts, and observing educators and students. This leads to making forecasts using past and current observations, trends, and data to signal what may be happening in the short- or long-term future.
Arfstrom Consulting specializes in working with K-12 B2E professionals, elementary and secondary leadership, and similarly focused non-profit entities and think tanks. Kari received a Certificate of Achievement from the University of Houston in Strategic Foresight (January, 2012), an intensive five-day course culminating in an extensive strategic planning and forecasting project.
Contact Arfstrom Consulting for press comments, specialized reports and presentations.
Publications and Media
EduTalkRadio: Five Myths of Summer Calendar: It's not "Agrarian" Interview with Larry Jacobs. July 27, 2016
EduTalkRadio: The Power of Educational Demographics. Interview with Larry Jacobs. June 21, 2016.
Webinar: Changing Demographics: ELLs and the Impact on Schools and Your Business. EdNET Insight Roundtable, June 15, 2016.
Article: Time to Rethink "Generations." EdNET Insight, By Kari Arfstrom. December, 2014.
Article: "The Future of Futuring Education." Web Exclusive for The Futures Education: Teaching and Learning about the Future. Contributed by Kari Arfstrom in THE FUTURIST. September/October, 2014
White Papers: Class of 2014 and Class of 2032. By Kari Arfstrom. August, 2014.
Survey Narrative: "Growth in Flipped Learning: Transitioning the focus from teacher to students for educational success." Co-authored by Kari Arfstrom for the Flipped Learning Network and Sophia Learning. May, 2014 Accompanying infographic
White Paper: "A Second Year Look at Flipped Learning." Co-authored by Kari Arfstrom for the Flipped Learning Network and Project Tomorrow. March, 2014
Blog. "Trends Come and Go -- Why Flipped Learning has Staying Power." By Kari Arfstrom for EdNET Insight. Sept. 2012.
Peer Reviewed Journal. "Can Entrepreneurship be Learned?" By Kari M. Arfstrom, Ph.D. in Perspectives: A Journal of Research and Opinion about Educational Service Agencies. Volume 15, Fall, 2009
Dissertation: "Recognizing, Determining and Addressing Entrepreneurial Innovations of Superintendents of Emerging or Established Educational Service Agencies." Written by Kari M. Arfstrom, Ph.D. Spring, 2009.
Peer Reviewed Journal. "Are ESAs Successful? The Research Says "Yes!" " By Kari M. Arfstrom. Perspectives: A Journal of Research and Opinion about Educational Service Agencies. Volume 10, Fall, 2004
White Paper: "Future Trends and Needs of Rural Schools and Communities." By Kari Arfstrom in the Rural Special Education Quarterly. Winter/Spring 2001